FIRE Calculator
Work out how much you need to retire early and the age your savings rate gets you there, with Coast and Barista FIRE.
A year, after tax
A year
After inflation
45 years from 50 to 95: at 4%, Bengen's worst past start lasted 33.
In today's money. Savings added at the end of each year.
Coast FIRE
Barista FIRE
Years to FI by savings rate
From $ 100,000 invested at a 5% real return and a 4% withdrawal rate. Each row spends the rest of your take-home pay, in work and in retirement.
| Rate | FIRE number | Years to FI | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | $ 1,800,000 | 42 years | 72 |
| 20% | $ 1,600,000 | 32 years | 62 |
| 30% | $ 1,400,000 | 25 years | 55 |
| 40% | $ 1,200,000 | 19 years | 49 |
| 50% | $ 1,000,000 | 15 years | 45 |
| 60% | $ 800,000 | 11 years | 41 |
| 70% | $ 600,000 | 8 years | 38 |
| 80% | $ 400,000 | 5 years | 35 |
| 90% | $ 200,000 | 2 years | 32 |
Works out your FIRE number, the portfolio whose withdrawals would pay for a year of retirement spending, and how many years your savings rate takes to reach it. It also gives the Coast FIRE number, the portfolio that grows to your FIRE number by a later age with nothing more added, and the Barista FIRE number, the smaller portfolio you need when part-time work pays for part of your spending. Every figure is in today's money.
How it works
The FIRE number is retirement spending divided by the withdrawal rate: 25.0 times spending at 4%, 28.6 times spending at 3.5%, 33.3 times spending at 3%. Your savings are take-home pay less spending, and your savings rate is that share of take-home pay. Each year the portfolio grows at the real return and the year's savings are added at its end; the first year it reaches the number is your years to financial independence.
Coast FIRE discounts the number back to today at the real return: the portfolio that grows to it by the coast age on its own. The tool also finds the first age at which the portfolio, left to grow with nothing more added, reaches the number by the coast age. Barista FIRE takes the part-time income off retirement spending before dividing by the withdrawal rate.
Lean FIRE and Fat FIRE are names for spending choices: a lean plan spends little in retirement, a fat one spends more. Use Spend differently in retirement for either; the tool sets no bands for them, since none is defined by any standard.
FIRE number = retirement spending ÷ withdrawal rate
Portfolio next year = portfolio × (1 + real return) + savings
Coast number = FIRE number ÷ (1 + real return)^(coast age − age)
Barista number = (retirement spending − part-time income) ÷ withdrawal rate
Examples
Spending 40,000 a year
Take-home pay of $ 80,000, $ 40,000 of spending and $ 100,000 invested at 30, at a 5% real return and a 4% withdrawal rate: the FIRE number is $ 1,000,000, and saving $ 40,000 a year (50% of pay) reaches it in 15 years, at 45. Spending the default $ 50,000 instead takes 20 years.
Coasting from 32
With Coast FIRE switched on, at 32 with $ 250,000 invested and the default $ 50,000 of spending, the Coast number for 60 is $ 318,867: what grows to $ 1,250,000 by 60 at 5% real. Saving $ 30,000 a year until 35 is enough; after that the portfolio gets there on its own.
Barista FIRE with 20,000 of part-time income
With Barista FIRE switched on and the defaults, part-time income of $ 20,000 leaves $ 30,000 a year for the portfolio, so the Barista number is $ 750,000 against a full $ 1,250,000. It is reached in 14 years instead of 20 years.
Years to financial independence by savings rate
| Savings rate | FIRE number (× pay) | Years to FI |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | 22.5 | 52 years |
| 20% | 20.0 | 37 years |
| 30% | 17.5 | 28 years |
| 40% | 15.0 | 22 years |
| 50% | 12.5 | 17 years |
| 60% | 10.0 | 13 years |
| 70% | 7.5 | 9 years |
| 80% | 5.0 | 6 years |
| 90% | 2.5 | 3 years |
Rules and sources
The 4% rule comes from William Bengen's 1994 study of US returns since 1926, with half the portfolio in shares and half in intermediate-term Treasuries. A first-year withdrawal of 4%, raised each year with inflation, lasted at least 33 years from every historical start, and 3.5% or less lasted at least 50 years in every period. He took 30 years as the least a portfolio must last. When the years from your FI age to 95 are more than 33 and the withdrawal rate is above 3.5%, the tool says so.
Sources
- Determining Withdrawal Rates Using Historical Data (Journal of Financial Planning, October 1994) — Financial Planning Association
Reviewed
Frequently asked questions
See also
- Retirement Calculator — to check a portfolio lasts year by year.
- Investment Calculator — for growth with contributions and nominal returns.
- Net Worth Calculator — to track what you own and owe on the way.